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☆ Markets worry Treasury yields could jump back to levels that sparked chaos last October
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-04 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield is hovering below levels that caused a massive crash last fall. Yet, persistent inflation and weak Treasury auctions could boost yields past the 5% mark. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. That's why Treasury auctions have become attention-grabbers for markets, as investors watch to see if there are enough willing buyers. The dangers of 5%When 10-year yields broke through the 5% mark last fall, traders panicked and the S&P 500 nosedived nearly 6% from October's peak-to-trough.

Persons: —, That's, Treasurys, Bill Gross, Ed Yardeni, Eric Sterner, Yardeni, hasn't, they're, Goldman Sachs, Sterner Organizations: Service, Treasury, Business, Treasury Department, Federal, Yardeni Research, Investment, SEI, Apollon Wealth Management

☆ Bank of America says buy this dip ahead of a summer market rally
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Investors shouldn't get too scared by the recent market pullback, according to Bank of America. The firm believes the recent downside movement is a promising entry point before the market returns to green this summer. April marks the worst month for the S & P 500 since September 2023 as investors' expectations for rate cuts fell on hot economic data. As of Tuesday morning, the S & P 500 was last trading around 5,100. The S & P 500 has tested its 5,000 support level, Suttmeier added.

Persons: Stephen Suttmeier, Suttmeier, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America Locations: upsides

☆ Stocks could have further to fall in May after this month’s market woes
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The S & P 500 is down by more than 3% this month, though it has still registered a more than 6% advance for the year. But many investors worry stocks have further to go before finding a durable bottom. They say stocks look overvalued even after the recent pullback, and they cite troubling headwinds for equities. 'Sell in May and go away' May has a reputation as a historically weak month for stocks. Carson Group's Ryan Detrick noted that stocks have actually been higher in May during the last nine out of 10 years.

Persons: Mark Luschini, Janney Montgomery Scott, Jeff Hirsch, he's, It's, Hirsch, Carson Group's Ryan Detrick, we've Organizations: Investors, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, Treasury Bond ETF

☆ Here's where Meta shares could go from here after their post-earnings sell-off, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-25 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Since February, Meta Platforms has been trending slightly higher on weaker price momentum. Since early 2023, META has experienced a period of remarkably positive price momentum. META has been trending slightly higher since February, yet the RSI has been sloping downwards. Thursday's initial gap lower dropped META right into the middle of the price gap formed in early February. This would also mean a retest of the 200-day moving average, which META has not touched since February 2023.

Persons: We'll, — David Keller Organizations: RSI, CMT

☆ The rally in gold could be still in the early stages, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-04 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Our review of the charts of precious metals tells us that the recent rally in gold prices could be just the early stages of a broad advance in the second quarter and beyond. Interestingly enough, gold stocks have actually been underperforming gold for most of the last 12 months. But over the last six weeks, gold miners have shown renewed strength, outperforming spot gold. This may be just the beginning of a "catch up" trade where gold miners close the performance gap with gold. Gold stocks have been lagging behind spot gold, but that trend of underperformance has begun to change in the last six weeks.

Persons: Alan Shaw, David Keller Organizations: Gold Miners, CMT Locations: retest

☆ The uptrend in this airline stock could be just getting started, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-28 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Alaska Air shares just getting started Alaska Air Group has recently broken above a key resistance level and could represent a compelling option for investors searching for stocks earlier on in their uptrends. Alaska remained below that retracement level as well as a declining 200-day moving average until this week. Now we're seeing ALK power above $42 with an initial upside target at the 61.8% retracement level around $47. The momentum characteristics are consistent with bullish phases, with Alaska becoming overbought this week after a quick rise. While overbought conditions could indicate a short-term pullback in the coming weeks, we're inclined to assume this uptrend could be just getting started.

Persons: we've, — David Keller Organizations: Nasdaq, US Global Jets ETF, JETS, Alaska Air Group, Alaska Air, CMT Locations: Alaska

☆ Tesla Autopilot and similar automated driving systems get ‘poor’ rating from prominent safety group
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-11 | by ( Peter Valdes-Dapena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

CNN —The Insurance Institute for Highway Safety, which rates cars and SUVs for safety, examined so-called advanced driver assistance systems such as Tesla Autopilot and found them wanting. Of the 14 systems tested by the agency, 11 earned a “poor” rating including Tesla’s Autopilot and so-called Full Self Driving systems. Insurance Institute test drivers also looked at what would happen if the driver became incapacitated with the automated driving system in use. Of the systems tested, only GM’s Super Cruise handled that sort of situation the proper way, according to the Institute. The Insurance Institute will continue to monitor software updates and improvements and will periodically retest the systems, Harkey said.

Persons: ’, David Harkey, Harkey, “, ” Harkey, ” Nissan, Ford, BlueCruise, ” Ford Organizations: CNN, The Insurance Institute for Highway, Ford, Nissan, ”, Insurance, ” Insurance, Traffic, Administration, The Insurance Institute, Institute, The, . Insurance, Cruise, Tesla, GM, Insurance Institute for Highway, Insurance Institute

☆ Bitcoin is set to make another run at the record and could rally to $98,000, according to chart analyst
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-06 | by ( Todd Gordon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Bitcoin charged to new highs on Tuesday, but then retreated about 14%, sending a scare into the market. I've been following the bitcoin story for 10 years now, opened my first Coinbase account back in 2014 and bought bitcoin at $330. Are tech stocks — like semiconductors — acting as a leading indicator for bitcoin, signaling a sustained move through the highs? Higher rates and a higher dollar put downward pressure on U.S. tech stocks and bitcoin due to their positive correlation demonstrated above. As a result, tech stocks and Bitcoin are rallying.

Persons: Bitcoin, I've, Jerome Powell, Powell, bitcoin, It's, Gordon, GBTC Organizations: Nvidia, VanEck Semiconductor, BTC, Nasdaq, U.S ., Financial Services, Treasury, U.S, Elliott Locations: bitcoin

☆ Move over Big Tech, a new market leader could be emerging, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-29 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Biotechnology stocks have recently shown renewed strength, and improving momentum may just push these names toward the top of the leaderboard. Second, this level also represented a 38.2% retracement level based on the 2021 high and 2022 low, which is a widely followed support level based on the Fibonacci methodology. This week, IBB has bounced off that support level, making a new 52-week high as it briefly pushed above the 50% retracement level around $140. The weekly chart reinforces that biotechnology stocks may still be in the early stages of this advance, with lots of daylight between current levels and the 2021 highs. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: IBB, David Keller Organizations: Biotechnology, Nasdaq Biotechnology, CMT

☆ Gold flat ahead of US inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold prices were little changed on Tuesday, as investors held back from making big bets ahead of a U.S. inflation report that could give fresh perspective on the timing of the Federal Reserve's first rate cut. Spot gold was flat at $2,018.71 per ounce, as of 0424 GMT, after briefly slipping to a more than two-week low of $2,011.72/Oz on Monday. All eyes are on the January U.S. consumer price index inflation data due at 13:30 GMT. Americans reported a fairly stable outlook for inflation at the start of the year, a New York Fed survey showed. Spot platinum was flat at $888.89 per ounce, palladium rose 1.5% to $905.71, and silver edged 0.1% higher to $22.71.

Persons: Tim Waterer, Wang Tao Organizations: Federal, KCM Trade, New, Fed, Reuters, U.S ., Traders, U.S Locations: Moscow, Russia, U.S, ., China, Hong Kong

☆ Palo Alto, Eli Lilly and Eaton are up big. Here are entry prices for new investors
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-11 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +10 min

Palo Alto Networks , Eli Lilly , and Eaton rallied hard over the past 12 months — up 127%, 117% and 66%, respectively. This $315 level is also close to the 50-day simple moving average (red line). Eli Lilly Two potential entry points: $617 (the 50-day simple moving average) and $541 (the 200-day simple moving average) The 50-day simple moving average is $617, a roughly 16.5% pullback from current levels, while the 200-day simple moving average is $541, a 27% decline. Instead, keep a close eye on that 50-day moving average, looking for that gap between the moving average and the stock price to narrow. As we can see, $242 represents the current 50-day moving average, with $240 representing a level of resistance shares recently surpassed.

Persons: Eli Lilly, Eaton, it's, pullbacks, PANW, Mounjaro, they've, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, George Frey Organizations: Palo Alto Networks, Big Tech, Palo Alto, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: Provo , Utah

☆ Here's why Apple stock is still worth holding despite Wall Street's shortsightedness
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-04 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +14 min

Asked a double-edged question: "What can you do to make my Apple stock go up." On Friday, we had so many storylines going it is hard to get your head around Apple's Vision Pro launch and its import. Most of all, however, the customer satisfaction level allows him to experiment with something really radical: the Vision Pro. No one is buzzing about how Apple can't meet demand for the Vision Pro. People walk in an Apple store on the day the Vision Pro headset goes on sale in Los Angeles, Feb. 2, 2024.

Persons: Apple's, Mark Zuckerberg, Zuckerberg, Matt Horween, Tim Cook, Cook, AirPods, Goldman Sachs, Apple, Ray, that's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Mike Blake Organizations: Costco, Apple, Meta, Apple's Vision, Web Services, Reality Labs, Dow Jones Transportation, Federal Reserve, Huawei, Vision, Major League Soccer, CNBC Locations: China, Republic of China, Los Angeles

☆ Apple is losing momentum ahead of earnings, reducing chances of a breakout, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-01 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Of the mega-cap growth stocks, Apple (AAPL) has certainly been a bit of a technical outlier in recent months. That downtrend in Q2 began with a gap below the 50-day moving average in early August and continued with a number of failed attempts to regain that 50-day moving average on the way down. Chart suggests exhaustion Over the last three months, Apple has basically bounced back and forth between retests of the July high of around $198 and the 200-day moving average. This bearish momentum divergence suggests exhaustion of upside momentum and leaves me skeptical of further upside here. Key levels to watch include the 200-day moving average around $182, as well as the January swing low around $180.

Persons: AAPL, I'm, we've, it's, David Keller Organizations: Apple, Nvidia, Meta, David Keller https

☆ Health-care stocks are back in favor and these 3 names could lead the rally, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-11 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

I was surprised this week to note the large number of health-care names represented on the new highs list. Here are three stocks in the health-care sector that could provide further upside potential based on their improving technical characteristics. That all changed in November, when BSX finally broke above this well-established resistance level, pushing into the upper $50s this month. From November 2022 to June 2023, AMGN dropped from around $295 to $215, shedding about 27% of its value in just seven months. With any breakouts like this one, it's important to watch the previous resistance level which often serves as price support going forward.

Persons: I've, BSX, Stryker, SYK, AMGN, David Keller Organizations: Boston, Stryker Corp, Inc, David Keller https

☆ Gold poised for second weekly gain as Fed pause hopes hurt dollar
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

REUTERS/Alexander ManzyukGold held steady on Friday, set for its second consecutive weekly gain, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar as markets grew confident that the Federal Reserve was done with its interest rate hikes. The dollar index was on track for a second weekly drop, making gold less expensive for other currency holders. Markets have dialed back expectations of Fed rate cuts in 2024 after data showed number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell more than expected last week. Earlier this week, the Fed minutes showed the central bank would proceed "carefully" and "all participants judged it appropriate to maintain" the current rate setting. Platinum eased 0.1% to $914.68, but was heading for its second weekly rise.

Persons: Alexander Manzyuk Gold, Tim Waterer, CME's, Waterer, Wang Tao Organizations: REUTERS, Federal, KCM Trade Locations: Siberian, Krasnoyarsk, Russia, U.S

☆ Art Cashin says investors should be careful amid market rebound, watching a key level on 10-year yield
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-24 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

A rebound in the 10-year Treasury yield could weigh on stocks, putting a dampener on the market's recent rally, according to veteran trader Art Cashin. I would watch that yield on the 10-year. … We may get another retest of the higher level in yields, while all that Fed jabber is going on," he added. If the yield on the 10-year Treasury note begins to move above 4.55%, Cashin said that could put "mild pressure" on the equity markets. You can see that the tone of many of the commentators who were getting more and more bearish are now stepping back from that," Cashin said.

Persons: Art, Cashin, Stocks, We've Organizations: UBS, Federal, Traders

☆ Some of the trillions parked in cash may trickle back in to stocks now that the market's rallying
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-15 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

2023: The year of chasing yield Investors historically chase after stock performance, but 2023 has been the year of chasing after yield performance. This year, the combined assets under management at money market funds grew to a record $6 trillion. There have been large inflows into short-term Treasury funds like the Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF (VGSH) and, surprisingly, even into long-term Treasury ETFs like the iShares 20+Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT). Still, some think a large chunk of the money in short-term Treasuries and money markets is "scared money" and will be "sticky." Those institutional investors "Don't want any money in cash because it will lag behind the stock market," he told me.

Persons: Paul McCulley, they're, Mark Lehman, Eric Balchunas, Jeff Seyffart, Alec Young, Steve Sosnick, Jim Besaw, Besaw, Mike O'Rourke, JonesTrading, Matt Maley, Miller Tabak, Chris Murphy Organizations: Federal, CNBC, Citizens JMP Securities, Treasury, Treasury Bond ETF, Bloomberg, Schwab Money Fund, MapSignals, Interactive Brokers, Gentrust, UBS Locations: Susquehanna

☆ Recent stock gains may have been too 'explosive,' but falling bond yields should continue to boost equities, technical strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Technical strategist Katie Stockton said that recent stock gains have been "explosive." But falling bond yields should continue to provide a boost to stocks if the pullback persists. The surge in equities, Wilson explained, is mostly a consequence of falling bond yields. Key government bond yields have pulled back sharply from 16-year highs in recent weeks. She said signs flashing in the TLT Treasury ETF point to an extended period of bond yields correcting from recent highs.

Persons: Katie Stockton, Stockton, —, November's, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, Wilson, JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic Organizations: Service, CNBC Wednesday, TLT Treasury Locations: Stockton, TLT

A man wearing a mask walks past the headquarters of the People's Bank of China, the central bank, in Beijing, China, February 3, 2020. The regional economic and policy events calendar this week is jammed with top-tier releases which are sure to give local assets strong steers, especially from China. China's economic surprises index turned positive three weeks ago but despite stronger-than-expected third quarter GDP growth, that momentum has faded. This week's 'data dump' will give a clearer picture of how the economy started the fourth quarter. Indonesia's quarter-on-quarter growth rate is expected to more than halve to 1.71% from 3.86%, according to a Reuters poll, and annual growth is expected to essentially hold steady just above 5%.

Persons: Jason Lee, Jamie McGeever, Josie Kao Organizations: People's Bank of China, REUTERS, Reserve Bank, Reuters, Bank of Korea, Bank of Japan, Nikkei, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, Asia, U.S, Thailand, Philippines, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Indonesian, Japan

☆ The stock market is following a rare pattern that could signal double-digit gains next year
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-02 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The stock market is following a rare pattern that could signal big gains next year, NDR said. The S&P 500 rallied for five months straight this year, followed by three consecutive months of losses. A five-month winning streak earlier this year was immediately followed by a three-month selloff from August through October. That's an unusual pattern in the history of the market, one that has only been observe four times since 1926. AdvertisementAdvertisement"Over the past 50 years, the S&P 500 was up every time from one to 12 months later," the strategists said.

Persons: —, Ned Davis, That's, Tom Lee Organizations: NDR, Service, Ned Davis Research, Treasury

☆ A 'panic spike' is possible late October into November, says Bank of America's chart analyst
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-23 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A panic spike could send stocks higher heading into November, according to Bank of America. Notably, the S & P 500 closed below its 200-day moving average, suggesting a break in the uptrend, and drew near a key psychological support level at 4,200. Bank of America's Stephen Suttmeier said the CBOE 3-Month Volatility Index (VIX3M) and the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) could flash an oversold reading below 1.0 as the S & P 500 nears its support levels, a possible capitulation signal indicating it's time for investors to buy. Regardless, Bank of America broadly anticipates the S & P 500 will close the year out at 4,600, according to the CNBC Market Strategist Survey . "In our view, this tactical panic likely coincides with a break below the 200-day MA at 4233 (SPX closed below it on 10/20) and the "FOMO rally / soft-landing" breakout point near 4200 on the SPX," Suttmeier added.

Persons: Stocks, of America's Stephen Suttmeier, Suttmeier, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America, of America's, U.S ., Treasury, CNBC Market, Survey

☆ Gold skids, but holds above $1,900 as Israel-Hamas war rages
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A worker handles an Argor-Heraeus SA one kilogram gold bar at Solar Capital Gold Zrt. Spot gold fell 0.7% to $1,919.21 per ounce by 0423 GMT and U.S. gold futures dropped 0.5% to $1,932.70. Given the surge in prices, gold will likely remain in focus for traders seeking to buy dips, which makes $1,920 and $1,900 of area of interest. But if tensions in the Middle East continue to escalate, shorting gold may not end too well for bears over the near-term. Data on Friday showed that COMEX gold speculators increased net short position by 11,784 contracts to 14,788 in week ended Oct. 10.

Persons: Hungary Gold, Matt Simpson, Wang Tao, Joe Biden, Jerome Powell's Organizations: Heraeus SA, Solar, Hamas, Investors, Federal Locations: Budapest, Hungary, Israel

☆ Why trust is critical to business applications of generative AI
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-22 | by ( Sponsor Post | Created Ibm With Insider Studios | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The criticality of trust is even clearer today as generative AI is changing the landscape of what's possible with AI. For example, generative AI models can produce highly believable, well-structured responses so it can be hard to identify an incorrect response without the right subject matter expertise. Generative AI does not have test-retest reliability, meaning you can ask the same question many times to an LLM and get different answers each time. Many business leaders are feeling pressure from investors, clients, employees, and others to accelerate their adoption of AI, including generative AI, but they're weighing the urgency to act against the potential risks. AI governance is how you define policies and establish accountability throughout the AI lifecycle.

Persons: That's Organizations: IBM Institute for Business, IBM, Trust, Transparency, IBM Consulting

☆ Sell Rosh Hashanah, buy Yom Kippur? What's the reasoning behind this classic seasonal trade
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-15 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

For active traders who like to time buying and selling around seasonal events, the next few weeks are Market Timing Heaven. The volatility is encapsulated in one of the more enduring seasonal trades: Sell Rosh Hashanah (which begins at sundown Friday this year), buy Yom Kippur (Sept. 25). Traders sell positions due to seasonal weakness at the start of Rosh Hoshanah, then return to the market after Yom Kippur. The period from Yom Kippur to Passover, which starts on April 22, 2024, is traditionally an up period, good for an average gain of 6.9%. It means market timers expecting seasonal weakness for the next few weeks are also expecting seasonal strength in the fourth quarter.

Persons: Rosh Hoshanah, Jeff Hirsch, Hirsch, Tom McClellan, McClellan, Todd Sohn Organizations: Triple, Triple Witching, Federal, Traders Locations: Yom, Rosh, Yom Kippur, Strategas

☆ Gold gains as U.S. inflation data takes center stage this week
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Gold prices rose on Monday, supported by a retreat in the dollar as investors looked forward to U.S. inflation data that could define the Federal Reserve's moves on interest rates. Spot gold gained 0.3% to $1,922.89 per ounce by 0313 GMT, having lost 1% in the previous week. Gold had found support around its 200-day moving average, an important technical level not easy to crack, he said, adding that if U.S. inflation undershoots that could weigh further on the U.S. dollar. Spot gold may retest a resistance at $1,930 per ounce, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao. The U.S. Consumer Price Index data for August due on Wednesday is expected to shape the Fed's interest rate decisions this year.

Persons: Matt Simpson, Gold, Wang Tao, Tim Waterer Organizations: U.S ., The U.S ., U.S, Consumer Locations: The

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